2026 World Cup Semifinal Contenders: Latest Odds and Insights

Who Will Reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals?

The 2026 FIFA World Cup will feature 48 teams battling through a tough schedule, with only four advancing past the first 100 matches to claim a spot in the semifinals. These four teams will be just two wins away from lifting the sport’s most prestigious trophy.

Which nations are seen as the strongest candidates to reach the final four following the initial group stage games? Here is a look at the current odds from FanDuel Sportsbook as of June 17.

Top Favorites and Their Track Records

Spain, France, Portugal, England, Argentina, Brazil, and Germany lead the betting board, all with odds under +330 to reach the semifinals. This elite group boasts a combined 39 World Cup semifinal appearances and includes six former champions, explaining their strong positions among bettors.

Argentine star Lionel Messi kicked off Argentina's campaign with a memorable hat trick, boosting the nation's semifinal chances.

Noteworthy Changes After Opening Matches

After Argentina’s 3-0 victory over Algeria featuring Messi’s historic first career hat trick, their odds improved significantly from +260 to +180. Norway also climbed up the rankings after a 4-1 win against Iraq, now listed at +600. Portugal saw a slight drop in odds from +175 to +190 following a disappointing draw with DR Congo.

Long Shots and Past Surprises

Morocco made history in 2022 by becoming the first African team to reach the World Cup semifinals, entering the tournament as 200-1 outsiders. Their odds to repeat this feat have improved from +1000 to +800 following a competitive opening match draw with Brazil. It remains to be seen if another dark horse can emerge this summer and shake up the field again.