Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Celje and Egnatia Rrogozhinë meet in Celje on 28 July 2026 in the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round, with the tie finely poised after an explosive first leg. The opening encounter in Rrogozhine finished 3-3, leaving everything to play for in this decisive return match in Slovenia.

For Celje, this is a huge opportunity to progress in Europe after showing impressive resilience away from home. They scored three times on Albanian soil but also conceded three, underlining both their attacking threat and defensive vulnerability. Egnatia Rrogozhinë, meanwhile, arrive with strong early-round form in the competition, having scored freely across their three Champions League fixtures so far.

With no group standings available yet at this stage of qualifying, the focus is firmly on recent Champions League statistics and that thrilling first-leg draw. This second leg has all the ingredients of another high-scoring, finely balanced contest that will interest fans and bettors looking for a Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction, H2H insight and betting tips.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Key Stats

• Celje have played 1 Champions League match this season, drawing 3-3 away and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game.
• The only recent head-to-head meeting between these sides, on 22 July 2026, ended Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-3 Celje in the 2nd Qualifying Round.
• Egnatia Rrogozhinë have scored 10 goals in 3 Champions League matches this season (3.3 per game) but have also conceded 5 (1.7 per game).

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Tale of the Tape

• Position: Not available vs Not available
• Points: Not available vs Not available
• Goals For: 3 (Celje, 1 match) vs 10 (Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 3 matches)
• Goals Against: 3 (Celje) vs 5 (Egnatia Rrogozhinë)
• Clean Sheets: Celje 0; Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 in their Champions League statistics

Because this is the 2nd Qualifying Round of the UEFA Champions League, there are no conventional league standings or points tables to reference. Instead, the comparison comes from early-round Champions League statistics. Celje have only one match on record so far: a 3-3 draw away, which shows they can both score and concede in equal measure.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë, with three matches played, have been more extensively tested. They remain unbeaten with 1 win and 2 draws, scoring 9 goals at home and 1 away. Their attacking output has been particularly strong at home, including a biggest win of 6-1, but they have yet to keep a clean sheet, which keeps this tie wide open heading into the second leg.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Key Matchups

Celje attack vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë back line

Celje’s attacking unit has already proven it can trouble Egnatia Rrogozhinë, putting three past them away from home. Across their single Champions League outing, Celje average 3.0 goals for and have failed to score in none of their fixtures. Their goals have been spread across the 31–75 minute window, suggesting they grow into games and can sustain pressure beyond the opening stages.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s defence, meanwhile, has been leaky but resilient. In three Champions League matches, they concede an average of 1.7 goals per game and have allowed goals in multiple time windows, particularly between 31–45 and 61–75 minutes. They have also collected a red card in the 46–60 minute window in their broader statistics, hinting at potential discipline issues under pressure. Celje’s ability to maintain attacking threat through the middle phases of the match could again expose those vulnerabilities.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s prolific attack vs Celje’s defence

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s biggest strength is clearly their attack. With 10 goals in 3 Champions League games and a highest win of 6-1, they have demonstrated they can overwhelm opponents, especially at home. Their scoring is well distributed across the match: they have found the net early (0–15 minutes), around half-time, and particularly in the final 15 minutes (76–90), where a significant share of their goals have come.

Celje’s defence, on the other hand, has only one Champions League game in the sample but conceded three times in that match. A notable share of their goals conceded came early (0–15 minutes) and then again around the hour mark and late on. That pattern aligns uncomfortably with Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s scoring windows, suggesting the visitors’ attack will again pose a major threat throughout the 90 minutes. Celje will need a more controlled start and better game management late on if they are to keep the Albanians in check.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have only recently crossed paths in UEFA competition, but their first encounter already hinted at a potentially high-scoring rivalry.

• 22 July 2026: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-3 Celje (UEFA Champions League)

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction

Stats suggest a very evenly balanced second leg. The prediction model gives Celje just a 10% chance of winning in regulation time, with the draw and an Egnatia Rrogozhinë victory each rated at 45%. That effectively makes the Albanian side slight favourites to progress, especially with the “Win or draw” angle backing them to avoid defeat.

However, with both teams yet to keep a clean sheet in their Champions League campaigns and all three of their combined matches for Celje and the last three for Egnatia Rrogozhinë featuring multiple goals, another open, attacking contest is likely. Celje’s home advantage and their three away goals in the first leg should give them confidence, but Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s broader body of work — unbeaten in three, averaging 3.3 goals scored per match — points to them having a slight edge over 90 minutes.

Predicted Score: Celje 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Celje Recent Form

Celje’s Champions League form line is short but encouraging: they have drawn their only match so far, a 3-3 away result. That shows they can compete offensively at this level, but also that their defensive structure needs tightening. Their recent statistics highlight a balanced profile — 3 goals scored and 3 conceded in that single outing, with no clean sheets yet.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Recent Form

Egnatia Rrogozhinë come into this second leg unbeaten in their last three Champions League matches, with a sequence that includes one win and two draws. Their recent form index is strong, reflecting a side that scores freely (10 goals in 3 games) while conceding enough to keep matches lively. They have yet to lose in this qualifying campaign and have shown they can both dominate (as in their 6-1 home win) and fight back in more even contests like the 3-3 draw with Celje.

Celje Possible Starting Lineup

Likely key players for Celje (grouped by position):

Goalkeepers: Ž. Frelih, L. Kolar, Žan-Luk Leban, S. Sluga
Defenders: Ł. Bejger, David Castro, L. Koutris, P. Širvys, A. Tutyškinas, G. Vodeb, N. Vukasović, D. Vukliševič, I. Ćalušić
Midfielders: M. Zabukovnik, Papa Mustapha Daniel, Stijan Gobec, D. Hrka, F. Jevšenak, M. Kvesić, T. Letonja, R. Požeg, J. Pranjić, S. Sešlar, M. Avdyli, Y. Dukuly, M. Ivanšek, V. Tusha
Forwards: A. Kotnik, A. Kucys, M. Poplatnik, D. Suhovrsnik

Celje have used a 4-4-2 formation in their only recorded Champions League match, which fits the squad profile of multiple centre-backs, full-backs comfortable pushing on, and a deep pool of midfielders supporting two forwards. With several experienced attackers like A. Kotnik and M. Poplatnik, they have options to chase goals if needed, while the depth in defence suggests the coach can adjust between a flat back four and more conservative setups as the tie demands.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Possible Starting Lineup

Key players available for Egnatia Rrogozhinë:

Goalkeepers: D. Afful, M. Dajsinani, B. Puja, L. Tandilashvili
Defenders: N. Ajetovikj, Z. Əliyev, E. Bitri, A. Fangaj, Guillem Jaime, E. Ndreca, A. Poci, G. Smajli, E. Sota, A. Xhemajli
Midfielders: Andrey Yago, A. Aleksi, I. Diabaté, Fernando Medeiros, M. Januzi, Jefferson, A. Kryeziu, K. Selmani, A. Albanese, I. Gruda, K. Loukili
Forwards: D. Adjessa, S. Bakayoko, D. Duro, J. Montenegro, Afonso Rodrigues

Egnatia Rrogozhinë have alternated between 3-5-2 and 5-3-2 formations in their three Champions League matches, indicating tactical flexibility. A deep defensive pool allows them to shift between three and five at the back, while a strong midfield core featuring players like Fernando Medeiros and A. Aleksi supports a varied attacking line led by forwards such as S. Bakayoko and J. Montenegro. This structure underpins their high scoring output and gives them options to protect a result if they gain an advantage in Celje.

Celje Team News

No significant absences reported.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Celje:

• None reported.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the Double Chance market (draw or away win). The prediction model rates Celje’s win chance at only 10%, with both the draw and an Egnatia Rrogozhinë victory at 45%. Combined with Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s unbeaten run (1 win, 2 draws in 3 Champions League games), the safer angle is to side with the visitors avoiding defeat.
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 goals. Celje’s only Champions League match finished 3-3, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë average 3.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game across three fixtures. The first leg between these sides produced six goals, and both teams have yet to keep a clean sheet in the competition, strongly pointing to another high-scoring encounter.
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score. Celje have scored in their only Champions League outing and did so three times away from home. Egnatia Rrogozhinë have scored in all three of their matches (10 goals total) and also conceded in each. With both attacks in good rhythm and defensive lapses on both sides, BTTS offers appealing value in what should again be an open tie.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.